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Domain Name Valuation Based on Revenue Multiples

Industry professionals occasionally debate about whether buying based on a pay per click revenue multiple is smart, and on what revenue multiple is appropriate to make a purchase. Naysayers (like myself) will argue that there is much more to a domain name than PPC, so simply using a revenue multiple is short sighted. Many who use revenue multiples argue that it’s one of the easiest and best ways to value a domain name, and it is especially important when buying a group of names or a portfolio.
While I don’t believe names should be bought or sold simply on a PPC revenue multiple, I do believe domain names should be bought based on some sort of revenue multiple. In any major business, marketing spend is typically allocated based on the return that is expected from the investment. Most of the time, the company will use a model to project a return based on expected response, lifetime value, depreciation, attrition…etc, etc. They will input the variables they know from past experience and make an educated guess on variables they don’t know. This gives an annual rate of return and can help place a value on an investment.
Using similar calculations based on my past experience, I come up with a value for a domain name before buying or selling it. I like to use 3-5 years as the amount of time to earn back the initial domain investment, but it varies depending on the domain name and my plans for it. With geographic domain names, I can determine approximately how much revenue I will be able to generate based on advertising sales, and I can justify a purchase price based on that. Had I used PPC multiples, I probably wouldn’t have been able to justify my purchase price.
When doing a calculation such as this, keep in mind the cost to develop and maintain the website, the cost of data and data entry, and the time it will take you to make the sales or the cost of paying someone to make the sales. Just because a domain name can make $100,000 per year as a website doesn’t mean the name is worth $300-500k based on my thinking. Since the cost of building and maintaining a website can be high, and the time considerations can be great, it is important to keep these figures in mind. While this isn’t perfect, it can help determine the value of a domain name to make an offer or a sale.

Domain Name Registration Dilemma

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One of my father’s business associates of 20+ years has a company I will call “J. Smith”. Most of their products are sold via private label, but they do use their brand for some direct to consumer sales, although they are always sold in retail stores as they are a wholesaler. Today, I navigated to his website, “Smith.com” and got an error page. I did a Google search and found that his company website is actually “JSmith.com.” I did a Whois search, and lo and behold, “Smith.com” was previously registered but now remains unregistered.
I called my father’s friend on the phone to talk about a couple of things and to catch up. During our conversation, I told him he should really buy his last name .com, either for his business or so nobody could do anything with it. Since he doesn’t use the domain name for anything other than email and a placeholder, he was reluctant and didn’t seem interested. I told him if he didn’t want it for his business, he should buy it for his son who might want it down the road. He said he would tell his son, but who knows if he will.
As savvy as I have become, I’ve found that there are many people who don’t realize the importance of a domain name – especially their own last name! Anyway, I am wondering if I should register the name for him. What do you guys think?

Safe Domain Name Transactions

After reading an excruciatingly long thread on DNForum that deals with allegations of scamming, stolen domain names, missing funds…etc, I wanted to share some general advice when buying and selling domain names. The advice I give is only based on how I personally do business, and I recommend using an attorney if that makes you more comfortable.
Before I purchase a domain name, I always check the Whois history to make sure the name looks like it is free and clear of problems. Frequent changes in ownership, different/inconsistent email addresses or phone numbers, and incorrect-sounding information always ring bells in my head and requires further checking. I also like to search using Google and the domain forums to see if the name has ever been in a dispute or had “issues.” Because I mostly

Kevin Discusses CTR

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Kevin posted an interesting article about analyzing your own click through rates rather than relying on an outside source to do it for you.

“It’s time for everyone to realize there is no stats uniformity between all the ppc providers, nor the click rev programs at G & Y. Trying to figure out and compare programs is simply a waste of time. You have to create your own analysis methods and bottom line everything.

Kevin is pretty good with numbers, and his post is an interesting read. I’ve noticed differences in how stats are reported between parking companies, stat counters, and server logs. While the bottom line is always the revenue generated, it’s important to know the actual click through rates so you can determine if you are presenting your visitors with relevant information.
Read the rest of Kevin’s article on his blog.

Getting Started With Development

Of course it is probably unrealistic to develop all domain names in your portfolio, assuming you have a decent amount of names like I have. But for those of you who are inclined to dip your foot in the development pool and at least give it a shot with a few of your names, I will be posting advice from a few domain developers throughout the next couple of weeks. Development is difficult, but it is manageable.
I don’t think the domain investment industry is dead or dying at all. I just think it’s time we start thinking about ways to profit from our domain name investments in ways other than parking and selling.

Getting Serious About Domain Name Development

Domain investors must change the perception that there is easy money to be made simply by investing in domain names. While many early speculators and adopters were able to do quite well, there is a perception that everyone in the domain industry is getting rich fast. Because of this perception, our domain names are a target. I don’t think there has been a time when our domain names have been put in such a perilous position by people who want to take them from us.
As most people are aware, the recently proposed Anti-Phishing Consumer Protection Act seems to be a vehicle intended to allow large corporations to claim that generic domain names infringe on their brands. This cleverly written bill sounds like it is intended to protect consumers, but the heart of it seems to be about stripping Internet entrepreneurs of their rightful domain names. Large corporations will be the beneficiaries of this bill, as they could use its vague language to take a privately owned domain name. Most of us aren’t viewed as Internet entrepreneurs, but rather people who got lucky and rich by making a wise speculation.
This perception also causes much internal strife, as some people who try to break into the industry do so without a strong ethical footing. Every day, hundreds of new domain names are registered intentionally containing the trademarks of well known brands, something that can be seen by reviewing the growing number of UDRP disputes. Some people also try to capitalize on catastrophes by registering related domain names immediately after a terrible event, and listing them for sale shortly thereafter. Most of the time, I would bet that this is done by people who aren’t having success on the straight track, so they feel the need to take shortcuts. This gives the domain industry a black eye, and it gives outsiders more motivation to try to penalize us by taking our domain names.
Folks, I hate to say this, but there isn’t easy money to be made in the domain industry.
With very little exception, parking revenues are down throughout the industry. This can be attributed to factors far too numerous to list, but the bottom line is that parked domain names aren’t going to make you rich – unless you spend millions of dollars to acquire them – in which case you probably won’t be parking them. Parking is still a good option for domain names that are waiting to be developed, but the key is that they need to be developed.
I believe we are at a serious crossroads in our business. While many people in the industry successfully brought us to the place where we are now, we need to reevaluate who we look at as the “industry leaders.” Whether we like it or not, the domain industry is changing. Gone are the days when people could make a ton of money parking or using arbitrage. Development is the key to long term success, and we should look up to people who are developing or have already developed some of their domain properties into successful businesses.
Development isn’t easy. There are so many spinning wheels with a development project, it is no wonder many people opted to park their domain names. Well, it’s time we take the bull by the horns and learn about what needs to be done to develop our domain names into websites. The transition won’t be easy, but I know we are all up for the task. While many early adopters spent 18 hours a day attempting to secure the best domain names several years ago, it is time to take the same initiative with a focus on developing our names. Just like a real estate developer doesn’t need to be a professional architect, domain owners don’t need to become professional programmers. We need to learn the basics and work with the experts.
In several years when we look back at 2008, I think we will note it as the year the industry changed its focus. The people who develop their domain names will be on top of the industry, and those who don’t may suffer. It is time that we do what we can to protect our domain names, and I think development is the best solution. In the coming weeks, I will do my best to speak with developers to give as much advice as i can. There are plenty of resources out there, and it’s about time we look into them and move forward. Web 2.0 is here, and it’s time we catch up and make the most of our domain assets.