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2008: Year of Uncertainty in Domain Industry

I know it’s a holiday weekend, but I think everyone needs to take a few minutes to read Ron Jackson’s interview of Rick Schwartz. In the domain space, Rick has been something like a soothsayer, and when he speaks, I listen. While we don’t all own the same quality domain names as Rick, the things he is saying does affect all domain investors.

If or when Google decides to pull the plug and PPC as we know it drastically changes, there is going to be a lot of tumult in the industry. While quickly and efficiently monetizing domain names will be difficult and domain values will be impacted, domain owners need to keep the following things in mind:

  • Businesses who want to be online need a domain name
  • Advertisers will still want to advertise on relevant domain names
  • People will continue typing-in domain names looking for products or services
  • Easy to remember and relevant domain names are the most desired
  • Consumers typically have certain web browsing patterns, and many type in their keyword and .com as a starting point

The point is that while making easy money from domain names won’t be possible, there are still going to be plenty of opportunities in the domain space. Some people will have to sell more than they have in the past in order to maintain the same revenue levels, so some deals may be had.  I recommend buying domain names that would make sense to be developed. Just because a domain name did well parked, doesn’t mean that it would be good to develop.

I still believe the greatest ongoing revenue generating opportunity is selling advertising space directly to advertisers on developed websites. I believe websites are the newspapers of decades ago. Websites get the eyeballs that newspapers once received, and advertisers want to reach them. Motivated consumers are untapped leads that businesses would like to acquire.

I also believe that as companies continue to migrate their business online, more will get it, and more will want (or even need) the domain name that describes their business or industry. Generic and category defining domain names are rare, and they hold considerable value. Selling domain names to end users that get it will be the driving force behind the future growth of domain values.

Changing times call for changing strategies.  Those who adapt and adopt will survive, and those who sit back will not. Who knows when all of this will happen, but I think it’s important to be prepared for the worst. Read Rick’s interview and judge for yourself.

Things to Consider When Selling a Domain Name

Some of the largest domain portfolio owners rarely if ever sell a domain name. They’ve built strong (and profitable) business plans that are effective by not selling a domain name, or only selling for a very, very compelling offer. While I would like to be able to keep every domain name I acquire, it isn’t feasible for me and my company. When I do decide to sell a domain name because of an unsolicited offer or if I put the domain name up for sale, there are several things I consider prior to the sale, and I thought I would share these things.
Is the domain name generating revenue as is?
Before selling a name (or before pricing a name), it’s important to calculate how much revenue is being generated and at what cost. If the domain name is generic and it’s parked, the name can typically be priced anywhere from 8 – 20 times its annual revenue, all depending on the name. For many category defining or product (non-TM) domain names, people have sold them for hundreds of years multiples. Most people with category defining domain names won’t sell simply based on a revenue multiple so this is a guideline.
If the domain name has a website, the owner should take the monthly hosting costs into account as well as other costs that are incurred, such as commission for advertising sales. Additionally, advertising agreements that are in place should be considered, since the new owner may not wish to keep the site as is, so contracts may have to be broken with advertisers once a domain name is sold. All costs and revenues should be considered when a domain sale is contemplated.
Are there plans to develop the domain name?
If the owner is planning to develop this domain name because of a particular interest in that industry/field, or development would be made easier because the owner has content or access to content, the price to sell the domain name could be higher. Sometimes a particular domain name fits well within the portfolio of a domain owner, so selling might not be in the best interest of the owner. A domain owner should think about what opportunity costs will be faced if this particular domain name is sold.
Can the domain name be easily replaced?
One reason why domain names are so valuable is because they are virtually irreplaceable. There can only be one ElliotsBlog.com, and likewise there can only be one of every domain name. If a domain name is sold, it might be impossible to find a similar domain name at the same price level. If you think you will regret selling a particular domain name down the road, you should probably hang on to it. In my opinion, domain names are going to continue to increase in value in the years to come, so don’t make a sale you will regret. However, don’t miss out on other opportunities because you became too attached to a domain name that you value more than the market – unless you have plans for the name.
Can the sale proceeds be used to reinvest in a better domain name?
On occasion, a person will want or need a domain name owned by someone else, and they will offer significantly more than the market value to acquire the domain name. While this might seem like a great deal if it happens, the domain owner needs to weigh whether he will be able to reinvest the money in a similar/better domain name. If the seller can upgrade, it might be worth selling the domain name. If the name isn’t easily replaceable and the owner has plans for it, selling might not be the best bet.
I’ve heard people praise others for passing on a $200,000 offer and selling a name for $300,000 4 months later. This is great only if the person couldn’t do something else with that money during the same period. If the domain owner could reinvest that money in other domain names and sell them for more in a short period of time, it might have been a better deal to sell for $200k, buy other names and sell those for more.
The one caveat is that the seller must be conscious of the tax implications of a sale/purchase. If the seller makes $100k profit on the $200k sale, he needs to be cautious when reinvesting that $200k because he is in the hook for around $35k of the $100k profit. If he buys a $200k domain name, he will still need to pay taxes on the profit.
Can the domain name be sold to someone else for more money?
The seller should analyze the market to see if he could get more money elsewhere. As any real estate broker will tell you, a home owner usually values his home more than the market would actually value it. Likewise, many domain owners believe their domain names are worth more than the market will yield. The domain owner needs to determine whether someone else would pay more than a current offer, and if so, what the effort to make that sale would be. Time is money in this industry.
Like with any negotiations, the dynamic of the negotiation really depends on whether the domain owner is actively selling a domain name or a potential buyer inquired to buy a domain name. In the first case, the seller may be the motivated party in making a deal, and this may somewhat dampen his prospects unless there is more than one interested party. When a domain owner receives an inquiry, the sales price really depends on the owner’s motivation for selling. If he has plans for the domain name or if he doesn’t need the proceeds from a sale but the buyer needs the domain name, the sky could be the limit for the price (just ask Rick Schwartz).
If the domain owner is actively marketing his domain name, he should strongly consider any offers before rejecting or counter offering on one. I’ve experience domain sales where I asked $25k for a domain name, and upon receiving a $20k offer, I’ve tried to counter at $22.5k. Sometimes during this period of negotiations, the potential buyer purchases another domain name, so his offer became voided.
From my experience, if you are the seller and you are the person seeking offers, if you receive a counter offer that is acceptable, you should consider accepting it rather than trying to make a small % more. Even major companies like Yahoo have overestimated the value of their assets, and they lost a sale they would be happy to have now.
As any domain investor knows, there are many other facets to valuing a domain name and negotiating a domain sale. These are just a few things I consider when selling, and I wanted to share them. As always, if you have questions or need help, drop me a line and I will do my best to respond shortly.

Domain Hall of Shame: Cuil.com

This has to be one of the poorest naming/branding moves I’ve seen in a while. Cuil.com just launched, and apparently the term “cuil” is suppose to be pronounced “cool.” This big news is currently being covered on the homepage of CNN. My buddy Thunayan (who never sells his company’s domain names) already has a search engine on Cool.com.   Seriously, what were they thinking?   This doesn’t pass the radio/tv test.

Prenups vs. Wills – Which Would You Develop?

I just picked up two pretty strong legal domain names. Chances are good that I will develop one of them using a legal affiliate relationship and possibly a directory, and I will probably sell the other one. Both domain names are common legal terms, and they both have fairly strong search numbers according to Aaron Wall’s Search Tool. Which do you think is the better domain name?
PrenuptialAgreement.com
1,200,000 Google results for “prenuptial agreement
Many top and side advertisers several pages deep
Aaron Wall’s Keyword Tool – 173 daily count
LastWillAndTestament.com
1,120,000 Google results for “last will and testament
Many top and side advertisers several pages deep
Aaron Wall’s Keyword Tool – 340 daily count
LegalZoom has a great affiliate program for these legal agreements
Which would you keep and which would you sell?

Bolt Bus is Awesome!

If you are exploring ways to get to New York City for TRAFFIC in September and you live in the northeast, I would recommend taking Bolt Bus, which is owned and operated by Greyhound. I just returned from a trip to Lowell, Massachusetts via Boston and took Bolt Bus to get their. Not only is the price just about the same as a trip on a Chinatown bus line, but they offer free WiFi to stay connected while on the road. Yes, I have a Blackberry to check email, but I was able to do other things wirelessly while on my way up north.
Bolt Bus has stops in Philadelphia, Boston, Washington DC and New York City. Although they don’t operate out of New York’s Port Authority yet, it is still easy to find the bus.   Once in New York, you can quickly grab a cab or jump on the train to get to the hotel in Brooklyn.   If you want/need to stay connected while traveling to/from New York, I highly recommend taking Bolt Bus.

Creating Stickiness – Bringing Visitors Back & Making Money

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The goal of most websites (and businesses) is to generate “stickiness,” which is basically attracting visitors and keeping them coming back to the website or business for more of what is being offered. There are various ways a company or website can create stickiness, such as providing updated news and information (which can be time consuming and expensive) or having the visitors create their own content to bring them back.
Yesterday, I launched a forum on TropicalBirds.com in an effort to create stickiness. I have been very happy with the growth of the site so far, but I want to give visitors a reason to return.   I continue to add new content and videos to the site (no need for .TV – joking – take it easy), and traffic is rising as it gains traction in Google.   Although the site hasn’t gained much traction in Yahoo yet, I am optimistic that it will come in time.
I added links to the forum on the sidebar of every page in TropicalBirds.com, and I also added calls to action throughout the site. Since tropical bird watching is a fairly popular hobby, I believe people will be interested in discussing everything related to tropical birds in the forum. Hopefully this will create stickiness, which should help the site grow.
The challenge will be turning the eyeballs into dollars. Based on my minimal experience so far, I believe there are plenty of advertisers in this space who will be interested in capturing the attention of tropical bird enthusiasts who visit the site, and I will be able to accommodate their advertising needs when the time comes. As I mentioned before, when I reached out to bird breeders about free listings on the site, I had one breeder who requested a featured listing on the site, and now she is the featured breeder in six categories.
While generating advertising revenue isn’t as easy as that was, I believe advertisers will want to put their products in front of interested eyeballs.   I am spending the time and money to build a place for likeminded people to discuss tropical birds, and I wanted to share this strategy with those of you who are in the midst of development. As always, if you have any questions, I am happy to help if I can.